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Red54
699634.0
1031618.1
472915.8
Blue38
64329.4
91449.3
711312.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7924040601001201405438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
6Coral scored#5
21Coral points18
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
41Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points2
54Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.4
34.232.8
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
red by 21.8
7113
#35
12.30.3
12.112.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Second
18.11.4
17.316.0
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 8.7
6432
#32
9.40.3
9.39.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Third
4729
#28
15.81.4
15.313.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
red by 6.5
9144
#36
9.30.3
7.88.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed