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Red71
914719.3
1055213.3
453725.4
Blue41
961613.2
643416.9
650820.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675402040801001207141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+10Teleop
+12Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
28Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
18Foul points0
71Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
#31
25.40.3
24.624.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
red by 4.6
6508
#11
20.80.7
22.321.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Second
9147
#21
19.30.4
18.317.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
red by 2.3
6434
#24
16.90.7
16.415.8
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9
Third
13.30.3
14.313.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
red by 0.1
9616
#41
13.20.7
10.49.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned