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Red105
647619.1
1050813.4
461359.4
Blue45
918911.5
958715.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10426040608012014016010545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+50Teleop
+60Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
25Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points15
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
66Total teleop29
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
0Foul points0
105Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.4
57.057.4
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
red by 44.4
9587
#12
15.00.0
15.115.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Second
6476
#22
19.10.4
18.719.1
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
red by 7.6
9189
#18
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Third
13.40.4
13.013.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.1
End1.8
red by 6.6
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed