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Red78
598811.0
477434.7
64329.4
Blue89
91449.3
743347.2
1034220.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618220401001201407889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+47
Endgame+37
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +39
6Coral scored#13
20Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
26Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
26Foul points0
78Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#13
34.70.5
34.033.5
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
blue by 12.5
47.21.2
44.045.2
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
5988
#26
11.00.5
11.511.0
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End3.2
blue by 9.1
20.11.2
18.920.1
Auto4.1
Teleop15.4
End0.7
Third
6432
#32
9.40.5
9.79.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
red by 0.1
9144
#36
9.31.2
8.19.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed