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Red95
649728.2
313242.0
699634.0
Blue92
914719.3
1000222.8
1031618.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1194801001502009592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#17
48Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
62Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
95Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.6
42.540.8
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End5.7
red by 19.2
22.82.2
20.422.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Second
34.01.6
32.831.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
red by 14.8
9147
#21
19.32.2
17.920.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
Third
28.21.6
28.727.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
red by 10.1
18.12.2
16.018.1
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed