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Red123
1035010.0
712821.9
558456.0
Blue73
1043710.5
478840.4
961613.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8859020408010012014012373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+12Teleop
+38Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
62Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
12Foul points0
123Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.02.8
49.952.7
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 15.6
40.41.4
36.938.3
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
Second
7128
#10
21.92.8
19.422.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
red by 8.6
9616
#41
13.21.4
9.711.1
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Third
10.02.8
7.210.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 0.5
10.51.4
9.110.5
Auto2.1
Teleop7.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed