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Red88
461359.4
587615.2
472915.8
Blue70
533118.8
1055213.3
743347.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9587501508870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+10
+4Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
35Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
20Cage & park6
20Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
14Foul points0
88Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.9
57.456.5
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
red by 12.3
47.20.7
45.244.5
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
4729
#28
15.81.0
13.912.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
blue by 2.9
5331
#25
18.80.7
19.819.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.2
Third
5876
#17
15.20.9
14.914.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
red by 1.9
13.30.7
13.913.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed