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Red168
558456.0
461359.4
608319.4
Blue46
914719.3
650820.8
598520.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14860010020016846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+106Teleop
+128Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +75
21Coral scored#7
74Coral points25
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
104Total teleop29
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#1
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#9
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points6
168Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.9
56.557.5
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
red by 38.5
5985
#27
20.90.6
21.721.1
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End2.0
Second
56.01.1
52.753.8
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 35.2
6508
#11
20.80.6
21.621.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Third
6083
#16
19.41.1
16.117.2
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 0.1
9147
#21
19.30.6
20.119.5
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6