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Red113
478840.4
651045.2
961613.2
Blue117
472915.8
699634.0
743347.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510150150200113117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
14Coral scored#20
52Coral points72
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
78Total teleop104
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#7
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
113Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.4
44.845.2
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
blue by 1.9
47.20.4
46.346.8
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
40.40.4
40.040.4
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
red by 6.3
34.00.5
33.133.6
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
Third
9616
#41
13.20.4
12.813.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 2.6
4729
#28
15.80.5
14.915.4
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4