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Red129
472915.8
699634.0
743347.2
Blue91
477434.7
958715.0
313242.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99102608012014012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+50Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points36
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
30Processor points12
24Net points8
54Algae points20
109Total teleop56
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
129Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.7
45.646.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 5.2
42.00.2
42.142.0
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End5.7
Second
34.00.8
32.433.1
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
blue by 0.7
4774
#13
34.70.2
34.934.7
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
Third
4729
#28
15.80.8
14.114.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
red by 0.8
9587
#12
15.00.2
15.115.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0