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Red152
558456.0
461359.4
608319.4
Blue130
478840.4
651045.2
961613.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479650200152130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
99Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#6
11L3#10
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
152Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.5
58.058.5
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
red by 14.2
45.20.9
44.044.8
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
Second
56.00.5
54.455.0
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 15.6
40.40.9
39.140.0
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
Third
6083
#16
19.40.5
17.918.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 6.2
9616
#41
13.20.9
12.012.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6