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Red123
472915.8
699634.0
743347.2
Blue69
643416.9
453725.4
649728.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047620406012014016012369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+66Teleop
+42Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +65
17Coral scored#4
61Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
93Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#1
7L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +54
12Foul points0
123Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.3
45.345.6
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 18.9
28.20.0
28.328.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
Second
34.00.3
32.032.4
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
red by 8.6
4537
#31
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
Third
4729
#28
15.80.3
13.814.1
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
blue by 1.1
6434
#24
16.90.0
17.016.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9