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Red113
477434.7
313242.0
587615.2
Blue58
473923.4
1000222.8
64329.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10351015011358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+29Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
64Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
6L3#4
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
113Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.4
41.742.1
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End5.7
red by 18.6
23.40.1
23.323.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Second
4774
#13
34.70.4
34.534.9
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
red by 11.9
22.80.1
22.722.8
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Third
5876
#17
15.20.4
14.815.2
Auto3.6
Teleop5.1
End6.4
red by 5.7
6432
#32
9.40.1
9.39.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8