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Red104
472915.8
699634.0
743347.2
Blue141
478840.4
651045.2
961613.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97996080120140104141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+21
Endgame+33
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#22
48Coral points78
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
24Processor points12
12Net points8
36Algae points20
84Total teleop98
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points4
104Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.3
45.045.3
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
red by 1.9
45.21.1
42.944.0
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
Second
34.00.3
31.732.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
blue by 6.3
40.41.1
38.039.1
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
Third
4729
#28
15.80.3
13.413.8
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4
red by 2.6
9616
#41
13.21.1
10.912.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6