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Red84
478840.4
651045.2
961613.2
Blue54
473923.4
1000222.8
64329.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055301508454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
60Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +30
2Foul points0
84Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.20.3
43.142.9
Auto10.5
Teleop28.0
End6.7
red by 21.9
23.40.0
23.123.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Second
40.40.3
38.338.0
Auto5.9
Teleop30.4
End4.1
red by 17.6
22.80.0
22.622.6
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
Third
9616
#41
13.20.3
11.110.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
red by 3.8
6432
#32
9.40.0
9.29.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8