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Red59
914719.3
650820.8
598520.9
Blue89
643416.9
453725.4
649728.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677940601001205989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+14
Endgame+36
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
30Total teleop41
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points0
59Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#27
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End2.0
blue by 7.3
28.20.5
27.828.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
Second
6508
#11
20.80.2
21.020.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 4.6
4537
#31
25.40.5
25.025.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
Third
9147
#21
19.30.2
19.519.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
red by 2.3
6434
#24
16.90.5
16.517.0
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9