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Red109
887612.4
478851.9
1034234.0
Blue42
919124.5
99938.3
999024.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10754015020010942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+63Teleop
+65Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points16
25Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +54
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
12Processor points6
20Net points0
32Algae points6
76Total teleop22
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +67
2Foul points0
109Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.2
51.751.9
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 27.2
9990
#12
24.70.5
25.224.7
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
34.00.2
33.834.0
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
red by 9.4
24.50.5
25.024.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Third
8876
#26
12.40.3
12.112.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 4.1
9993
#23
8.30.5
8.88.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3