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Red68
887612.4
478851.9
1034234.0
Blue51
919124.5
99938.3
999024.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1115401001502006851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points6
25Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +8
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
25Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +17
12Foul points2
68Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.91.0
52.651.7
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 27.2
9990
#12
24.70.3
25.525.2
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
34.01.0
34.833.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
red by 9.4
24.50.3
25.325.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Third
8876
#26
12.41.2
13.312.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 4.1
9993
#23
8.30.3
9.18.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3