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Red73
997922.5
999116.6
652412.7
Blue78
919124.5
99938.3
999024.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556301001502007378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
8Coral scored#12
30Coral points42
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
48Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points6
73Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.6
21.922.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
blue by 2.2
9990
#12
24.70.4
25.125.5
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
16.60.7
15.916.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
blue by 8.0
24.50.4
24.925.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Third
6524
#25
12.70.7
12.012.7
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 4.4
9993
#23
8.30.4
8.79.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3