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Red108
919124.5
99938.3
999024.7
Blue58
997610.6
999214.2
999712.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626230405070809010010858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +34
12Coral scored#8
42Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
76Total teleop42
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
108Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
#12
24.71.3
23.825.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
red by 10.5
9992
#17
14.20.4
13.714.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Second
24.51.3
23.624.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
red by 12.0
9997
#10
12.50.4
12.112.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
9993
#23
8.31.4
7.38.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 2.3
9976
#18
10.60.5
10.110.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.3