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Red136
887612.4
478851.9
1034234.0
Blue53
997922.5
999116.6
652412.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10947010015013653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+87Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
29Coral points3
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
20Coral scored#8
71Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
105Total teleop38
Reef
13L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
136Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.8
51.852.6
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 29.3
22.50.1
21.821.9
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
34.00.8
33.934.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
red by 17.4
16.60.1
15.815.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Third
8876
#26
12.41.0
12.313.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 0.4
6524
#25
12.70.1
11.912.0
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2