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Red100
478851.9
997214.7
998015.3
Blue50
99868.8
99938.3
99785.7
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10147015020025030010050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave0
5Coral scored#0
25Coral points0
25Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
69Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points6
100Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.91.1
57.959.0
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 43.0
9986
#11
8.80.2
6.97.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Second
9980
#14
15.31.8
6.98.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 7.0
9993
#23
8.30.2
6.97.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Third
9972
#16
14.71.8
6.98.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 9.0
9978
#29
5.70.2
6.97.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned