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Red15
927516.2
999411.5
997610.6
Blue70
1034234.0
997922.5
99810.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815501001502002501570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+51
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +48
3Coral scored#11
10Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
10Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#3
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
2Foul points2
15Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9275
#15
16.20.5
16.215.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 17.8
34.02.5
20.122.7
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
Second
11.52.1
6.94.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 11.0
22.53.8
6.910.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Third
9976
#18
10.62.1
6.94.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.3
red by 10.2
9981
#27
0.43.8
6.910.7
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed