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Red11
99810.4
99938.3
997214.7
Blue47
999024.7
711312.9
99742.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4440102030506070801147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +31
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
11Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9972
#16
14.72.0
7.35.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 10.0
9990
#12
24.72.1
10.012.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
9993
#23
8.32.0
7.25.2
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 4.6
7113
#20
12.91.3
10.311.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
9981
#27
0.42.0
11.29.2
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.7
End1.0
blue by 2.1
9974
#24
2.52.1
5.27.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed