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Red95
478851.9
999510.8
1031613.2
Blue73
999116.6
99759.9
927516.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107210501502002509573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
47Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
30Foul points30
95Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.6
57.356.7
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 35.3
16.62.1
4.66.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Second
13.20.6
13.312.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 3.0
9275
#15
16.22.1
14.316.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Third
9995
#21
10.81.1
4.13.0
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 0.9
9975
#30
9.92.1
4.97.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed