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Red35
99898.3
998015.3
999712.5
Blue74
919124.5
997922.5
99868.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38650501001502003574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +32
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
0Processor points6
4Net points16
4Algae points22
22Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
35Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9980
#14
15.30.4
9.29.6
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 9.2
24.52.2
21.223.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Second
9997
#10
12.50.4
7.07.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 10.0
22.52.2
13.215.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Third
9989
#22
8.30.4
4.55.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 0.5
9986
#11
8.82.2
6.18.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed