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Red58
1034234.0
99850.5
99785.7
Blue30
999613.6
652412.7
943312.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414402060801001205830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+32Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
43Total teleop18
Reef
3L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
58Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.8
24.226.0
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
red by 20.4
13.60.6
8.78.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Second
9978
#29
5.73.0
4.47.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 7.3
9433
#13
12.90.6
14.513.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
9985
#28
0.53.0
2.55.5
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
blue by 12.2
6524
#25
12.70.6
12.411.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed