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Red93
478851.9
999411.5
997922.5
Blue64
99759.9
997214.7
919124.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115240501001502009364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+39Teleop
+35Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
28Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
63Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points6
93Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.5
56.757.2
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 27.3
24.51.5
23.424.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Second
22.50.8
15.416.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
red by 7.8
9972
#16
14.71.5
5.46.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Third
11.50.8
7.78.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
red by 1.6
9975
#30
9.91.5
7.08.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned