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Red19
711312.9
887612.4
652412.7
Blue23
99850.5
99868.8
927516.2
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403801020305060701923

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
3Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
2Coral scored#2
6Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
10Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
19Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7113
#20
12.91.4
11.610.1
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 3.3
9275
#15
16.21.1
16.415.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.3
Second
6524
#25
12.72.4
11.89.4
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 3.9
9986
#11
8.81.1
8.37.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Third
8876
#26
12.42.4
17.214.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 11.8
9985
#28
0.51.1
5.54.4
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed