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Red24
999214.2
99785.7
99810.4
Blue32
997310.2
1031613.2
943312.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603302040801001201401602432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +4
2Coral scored#3
6Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
8Foul points12
24Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
#17
14.20.9
7.46.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.7
red by 0.9
13.20.9
12.611.7
Auto1.6
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Second
9978
#29
5.70.9
7.46.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 7.3
9433
#13
12.91.6
13.912.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Third
9981
#27
0.40.9
9.28.3
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.7
End1.0
blue by 9.8
10.21.6
7.76.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed