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Red24
998015.3
99785.7
997610.6
Blue62
919124.5
711312.9
999613.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605401002003004002462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +29
2Coral scored#7
7Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
11Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points6
24Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9980
#14
15.30.0
13.813.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
blue by 9.2
24.51.0
24.925.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Second
9976
#18
10.60.0
3.83.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 3.0
13.61.0
12.213.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
9978
#29
5.70.0
6.56.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 7.2
7113
#20
12.90.6
10.110.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed