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Red54
4788B19.2
997922.5
943312.9
Blue26
99742.5
999411.5
1031613.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6235020801001201405426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points10
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
38Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
54Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.0
16.215.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
red by 9.3
13.20.4
11.711.2
Auto1.6
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Second
19.21.0
22.921.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End2.2
red by 7.7
11.50.7
8.57.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Third
9433
#13
12.91.0
12.311.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
red by 10.5
9974
#24
2.50.7
6.55.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned4%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed