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Red27
99810.4
887612.4
99759.9
Blue63
99898.3
999116.6
997214.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2640060801001201402763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+36
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
27Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8876
#26
12.41.4
14.813.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 4.2
16.62.6
7.510.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Second
9975
#30
9.91.4
8.57.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.1
blue by 4.7
9972
#16
14.72.6
6.89.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Third
9981
#27
0.41.4
8.36.9
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.7
End1.0
blue by 7.9
9989
#22
8.32.6
7.39.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
5%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed