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Red36
1031613.2
711312.9
99785.7
Blue57
478851.9
99938.3
99742.5
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22950501502003657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +14
5Coral scored#7
18Coral points26
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
28Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points8
36Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.20.5
11.211.7
Auto1.6
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 38.6
51.91.5
57.055.5
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
Second
7113
#20
12.90.5
10.711.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 4.6
9993
#23
8.32.6
9.46.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Third
9978
#29
5.70.8
6.57.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
red by 3.2
9974
#24
2.52.6
5.83.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed