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Red16
99938.3
711312.9
99850.5
Blue45
997922.5
997310.2
999510.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315001001501645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
6Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
16Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7113
#20
12.90.7
11.210.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 9.7
22.52.0
13.015.1
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
9993
#23
8.31.1
6.85.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 2.5
9995
#21
10.82.0
7.69.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
9985
#28
0.51.1
7.86.7
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
blue by 9.7
10.22.0
5.98.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed