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Red40
997310.2
99850.5
999712.5
Blue90
1031613.2
997610.6
997214.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325101001504090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+50
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +38
5Coral scored#11
18Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
22Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
8Foul points18
40Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9997
#10
12.50.5
10.510.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 2.2
9972
#16
14.73.2
10.313.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Second
10.20.5
8.07.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 3.0
13.22.0
11.113.1
Auto1.6
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Third
9985
#28
0.50.5
6.76.2
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
blue by 10.0
9976
#18
10.63.4
3.36.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned