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Red18
99742.5
999613.6
99898.3
Blue6
999214.2
887612.4
999510.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43880150200250300186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +12
3Coral scored#1
12Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#0
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
18Total score6

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.60.3
6.96.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 0.5
9992
#17
14.22.9
6.94.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Second
9989
#22
8.30.3
6.96.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 4.0
8876
#26
12.42.6
12.415.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Third
9974
#24
2.50.3
6.96.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 8.3
9995
#21
10.82.9
6.94.1
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsMissed