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Red51
999510.8
927516.2
711312.9
Blue91
4788B19.2
1034234.0
999024.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387302060801001201401605191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+36
Fouls+40
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +41
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
35Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points4
51Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9275
#15
16.21.1
14.916.0
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.3
blue by 17.8
34.00.8
30.831.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
Second
7113
#20
12.90.7
10.611.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 11.8
9990
#12
24.71.2
19.320.5
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Third
9995
#21
10.81.2
9.710.9
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 8.4
19.21.2
19.520.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed