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Red22
99868.8
99810.4
999613.6
Blue36
997922.5
99759.9
99938.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404202060801002236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#4
7Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
7Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
22Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.60.6
14.513.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 8.9
22.50.7
15.115.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
9986
#11
8.80.6
8.47.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 1.1
9975
#30
9.90.8
8.39.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Third
9981
#27
0.40.6
4.84.2
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.7
End1.0
blue by 7.9
9993
#23
8.30.8
5.76.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed