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Red54
99898.3
999024.7
999214.2
Blue74
711312.9
999411.5
998015.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5639020801001201401605474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points26
54Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
#12
24.71.9
20.522.4
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
red by 9.4
9980
#14
15.31.4
13.514.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Second
9992
#17
14.21.9
8.09.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.7
red by 1.3
7113
#20
12.91.0
11.312.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
9989
#22
8.31.9
5.67.5
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End1.4
blue by 3.2
11.51.4
8.510.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed