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Red35
997214.7
4788B19.2
99850.5
Blue95
999116.6
652412.7
997922.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495301001503595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+48
Endgame+48
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +38
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
23Total teleop61
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points12
35Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.6
20.719.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End2.2
blue by 3.3
22.53.8
15.819.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
9972
#16
14.71.6
13.511.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
blue by 1.9
16.64.0
10.114.1
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Third
9985
#28
0.51.6
6.24.6
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
blue by 12.2
6524
#25
12.74.0
6.911.0
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsEarned