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Red44
997310.2
999411.5
99938.3
Blue79
1034234.0
999116.6
99868.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31700501001504479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
6Coral scored#10
21Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
29Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
44Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.51.4
10.011.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
blue by 22.4
34.00.9
32.433.2
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
Second
10.21.4
8.610.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 6.3
16.61.3
14.115.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
Third
9993
#23
8.31.5
4.96.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 0.5
9986
#11
8.81.2
7.48.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed