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Red66
919124.5
927516.2
943312.9
Blue77
997922.5
997214.7
999214.2
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions457301001502006677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points15
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +18
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
40Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
66Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.6
22.122.7
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
red by 2.0
22.51.9
19.521.4
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
9275
#15
16.20.6
15.516.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.5
End2.3
red by 1.5
9972
#16
14.71.9
11.913.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Third
9433
#13
12.90.6
12.112.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 1.2
9992
#17
14.21.9
9.911.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed