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Red60
4788B19.2
999510.8
999613.6
Blue24
99810.4
99850.5
478851.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507301001506024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+16Teleop
+18Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +10
5Coral scored#4
19Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
27Total teleop17
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
18Foul points0
60Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.7
19.118.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End2.2
blue by 32.7
51.93.2
54.351.1
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
Second
13.60.7
13.512.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 13.1
9985
#28
0.54.2
4.60.3
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
Third
9995
#21
10.80.8
11.310.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 10.4
9981
#27
0.44.2
4.70.4
Auto0.2
Teleop-0.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed