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Red17
887612.4
99742.5
99785.7
Blue49
652412.7
999712.5
999024.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1843060801001201749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+28
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +22
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
17Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8876
#26
12.40.3
11.811.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 12.3
9990
#12
24.70.5
22.422.9
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
9978
#29
5.70.3
6.05.7
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 7.1
6524
#25
12.70.6
11.011.6
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
9974
#24
2.50.3
2.82.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End1.1
blue by 10.0
9997
#10
12.50.5
9.610.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
2%Auto oddsMissed18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
3%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed