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Red64
997922.5
999024.7
887612.4
Blue92
4788B19.2
99785.7
478851.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4011501001502002506492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave0
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
6Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +5
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
0Processor points12
8Net points4
8Algae points16
54Total teleop49
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points18
64Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
#12
24.72.5
7.510.0
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
blue by 27.2
51.91.7
59.057.3
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
Second
22.52.5
10.713.2
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
red by 3.3
19.22.8
24.121.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End2.2
Third
8876
#26
12.42.5
15.017.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 6.7
9978
#29
5.72.8
7.24.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed