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Red30
99868.8
711312.9
943312.9
Blue58
999712.5
999411.5
999613.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483801001502002503003503058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points18
30Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9433
#13
12.91.1
15.614.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 0.7
13.62.0
6.68.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Second
7113
#20
12.90.6
10.910.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 0.3
9997
#10
12.52.0
4.97.0
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
9986
#11
8.81.1
7.26.1
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 2.7
11.52.0
4.96.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned