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Red29
999116.6
99938.3
999510.8
Blue29
99759.9
652412.7
997610.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5454303540455060652929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
0Fouls0
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
3Coral scored#4
10Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
18Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points2
29Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
red by 3.8
6524
#25
12.7
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Second
9995
#21
10.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 0.2
9976
#18
10.6
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Third
9993
#23
8.3
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 1.6
9975
#30
9.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed