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Red65
1031613.2
997214.7
998015.3
Blue63
999411.5
997310.2
999510.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4946203040607080906563

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+14Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#8
36Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
50Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points12
65Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9980
#14
15.30.1
14.714.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End2.1
red by 3.8
11.50.1
11.511.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
Second
9972
#16
14.70.1
14.114.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
red by 3.9
9995
#21
10.80.1
10.710.8
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
13.20.1
12.712.9
Auto1.6
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 3.0
10.20.1
10.110.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5