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Red34
943312.9
99850.5
99868.8
Blue74
997610.6
999214.2
999712.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29690501001503474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +39
4Coral scored#11
13Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
19Total teleop58
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
34Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9433
#13
12.90.1
12.912.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 1.2
9992
#17
14.20.8
12.513.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.8
End1.7
Second
9986
#11
8.80.1
8.78.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
blue by 3.7
9997
#10
12.50.8
10.911.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
9985
#28
0.50.1
0.50.5
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
blue by 10.0
9976
#18
10.60.9
8.89.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End1.3